Riga FC 1-0 Liepaja — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.29
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
73%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.3pp
19%
Away Win
10%
+8.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Liepaja EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
2.51/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.33
+11% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
456 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 73%
43.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
29.4 Crosses 12.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Liepaja
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.70 xG 0.64
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
520 Passes 231
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
45 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.07.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
14.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 1-1 HT 0-1 Riga FC Riga FC LET
04.04.2024 Riga FC Riga FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
25.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 2-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
20.09.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Liepaja Liepaja LETK
04.07.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
1-0
AWAY Liepaja
1.36 xG 0.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
493 Passes 317
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Liepaja
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC nicked a narrow win over Liepaja 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Riga FC had 60% of the ball to Liepaja's 40%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.36 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Riga FC and 0.67 for Liepaja.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Riga FC 1-0 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Liepaja?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 58%, draw 23%, Liepaja 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ BTTS No
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