Fyllingsdalen 0-2 Fredrikstad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.96
Over Pick
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.35
No
42%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
38%
4-5
35%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
44%
+3.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+4.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
70%
-12.3pp
42%
BTTS No
30%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fyllingsdalen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.84/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/2.31
-14% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
POST-MATCH Fyllingsdalen vs Fredrikstad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad II saw off Fyllingsdalen 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fyllingsdalen at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Fyllingsdalen vs Fredrikstad II?

Fyllingsdalen 0-2 Fredrikstad II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fyllingsdalen vs Fredrikstad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fyllingsdalen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fyllingsdalen 47%, draw 20%, Fredrikstad II 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fyllingsdalen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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