Melhus 1-4 Rana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

Melhus
1-4 HT 0-3
Rana
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
51%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
3.14
Over Pick
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
45%
4-5
25%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.5pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.9pp
51%
Away Win
63%
-11.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.5pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rana EU Bookmakers 67%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.36/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.24/1.99
+49% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
233 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melhus
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.06.2024 Rana Rana 4-1 HT 1-1 Melhus Melhus NOR4
06.08.2022 Melhus Melhus 3-1 HT 1-1 Rana Rana NOR4
07.05.2022 Rana Rana 4-1 HT 1-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Rana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rana cruised past Melhus 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rana as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Melhus and 3.00 for Rana.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Rana?

Melhus 1-4 Rana in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Rana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Melhus 31%, draw 18%, Rana 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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