Afyonspor 2-2 Isparta 32 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.91
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
48%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.67
Over
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
48%
4-5
14%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
14%
+10.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
48%
Away Win
62%
-13.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.6pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-64% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afyonspor
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2022 Isparta 32 Spor Isparta 32 Spor 0-0 HT 0-0 Afyonspor Afyonspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor
2-2
AWAY Isparta 32 Spor
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Afyonspor vs Isparta 32 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afyonspor and Isparta 32 Spor couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.

Our pre-match lean was Isparta 32 Spor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Afyonspor had 43% of the ball to Isparta 32 Spor's 57%, shots finished 5-18.

What was the final score of Afyonspor vs Isparta 32 Spor?

Afyonspor 2-2 Isparta 32 Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor vs Isparta 32 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isparta 32 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor 25%, draw 27%, Isparta 32 Spor 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Isparta 32 Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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