Bodrum FK 3-1 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.36
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
17%
4.15
X/2
9%
8.66
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
6%
24.0
2/2
15%
6.61
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 26%
-63% / -63% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
0.77/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.52
-100% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
25.0 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
3-1
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.58 xG 1.10
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
235 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK saw off Adana Demirspor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 47% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 53%, shots finished 18-16, expected goals 1.58 to 1.10.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Bodrum FK 3-1 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 45%, draw 26%, Adana Demirspor 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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