Eyüpspor 3-2 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.0
X/2
12%
9.43
X/X
11%
5.05
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
23.6
2/2
10%
7.29
2/X
9%
15.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
Crosses 16.3
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
3-2
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.89 xG 1.59
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
404 Passes 213
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor nicked a narrow win over Gaziantep FK 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 63% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 37%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.89 to 1.59.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Eyüpspor 3-2 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 48%, draw 25%, Gaziantep FK 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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