Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

Antalyaspor
0-2 HT 0-0
Fenerbahçe
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.06
6+ Goals
16%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.82
1/2
7%
21.85
1/X EV+ ✗
9%
18.2
X/1
8%
12.7
X/2
26%
3.64
X/X
8%
6.29
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
23%
1.81
2/X
8%
17.55
Value flag · 1/X at 18.2 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
16%
+2.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.4pp
57%
Away Win
63%
-6.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 67%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
0.73/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.91
-51% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +29%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 84%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
14.6 Crosses 20.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
252 Passes 392
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
17.09.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-2 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
30.05.2023 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 1-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
03.01.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
15.01.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
22.08.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-0 HT 0-0 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL

Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
0-2
AWAY Fenerbahçe
0.39 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
339 Passes 339
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe saw off Antalyaspor 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 50% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 50%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.39 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Antalyaspor and 2.00 for Fenerbahçe.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Antalyaspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 19%, draw 24%, Fenerbahçe 57%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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