Trabzonspor 3-2 Konyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.46
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
14.4
X/1
14%
4.06
X/2
13%
8.27
X/X
6%
4.48
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
6.66
2/X
7%
15.15
Value flag · 1/X at 14.4 — our 11% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Konyaspor EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.64/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.36
+20% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
445 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
18.8 Crosses 16.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Konyaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 Passes 373
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.04.2024 Konyaspor Konyaspor 1-3 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.11.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 0-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
29.04.2023 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
06.11.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 2-1 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
13.02.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Konyaspor Konyaspor TSL
23.09.2021 Konyaspor Konyaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
3-2
AWAY Konyaspor
2.00 xG 2.09
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
451 Passes 180
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Konyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor nicked a narrow win over Konyaspor 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 66% of the ball to Konyaspor's 34%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.00 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.50 for Konyaspor.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Konyaspor?

Trabzonspor 3-2 Konyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Konyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 44%, draw 24%, Konyaspor 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ BTTS Yes
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