Cittadella 0-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
18.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 21%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -12%
0.52/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.27
-67% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-0
AWAY Pro Patria
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella and Pro Patria fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cittadella at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 58% of the ball to Pro Patria's 42%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Pro Patria?

Cittadella 0-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 53%, draw 29%, Pro Patria 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cittadella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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