SSC Giugliano 0-1 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
45%
+7.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.8pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.79/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.96
+37% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 5-0 HT 2-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
02.12.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 3-0 HT 2-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
07.01.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
01.09.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
0-1
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio edged past SSC Giugliano 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was SSC Giugliano at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 55% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 45%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.25 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?

SSC Giugliano 0-1 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 53%, draw 21%, Sorrento Calcio 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SSC Giugliano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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