Ospitaletto 0-1 Alcione — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alcione EU Bookmakers 37%
-52% / -52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-14% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
253 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ospitaletto
0-1
AWAY Alcione
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ospitaletto vs Alcione
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcione squeezed past Ospitaletto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Alcione made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Ospitaletto had 56% of the ball to Alcione's 44%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Ospitaletto vs Alcione?

Ospitaletto 0-1 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ospitaletto vs Alcione?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ospitaletto win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ospitaletto 40%, draw 28%, Alcione 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ospitaletto), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ospitaletto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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