Picerno 2-1 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.64
Over 2.5
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.15
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+8.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.40/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
-3% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 Picerno Picerno 0-0 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
15.12.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
06.03.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
29.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
07.01.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-3 HT 1-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
12.09.2022 Picerno Picerno 3-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
2-1
AWAY Foggia Calcio
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno squeezed past Foggia Calcio 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Picerno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Picerno had 59% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 41%, shots finished 18-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Picerno and 0.83 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Foggia Calcio?

Picerno 2-1 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Picerno 51%, draw 28%, Foggia Calcio 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Picerno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
29 Sep 2025
21:30 Ospitaletto vs Alcione Analysis →
21:30 Cittadella vs Pro Patria Analysis →
21:30 Vicenza vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
21:30 SSC Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio Analysis →