Foggia Calcio 1-0 Picerno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Picerno EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +3%
1.31/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.04
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Picerno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
29.10.2023 Picerno Picerno 2-0 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
07.01.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-3 HT 1-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
12.09.2022 Picerno Picerno 3-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
13.03.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-2 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
30.10.2021 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
1-0
AWAY Picerno
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Picerno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio nicked a narrow win over Picerno 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Foggia Calcio as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 34% of the ball to Picerno's 66%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Picerno led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.83 for Picerno.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Picerno?

Foggia Calcio 1-0 Picerno in the Italy - Serie C on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Picerno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 42%, draw 33%, Picerno 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foggia Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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