SSC Giugliano 5-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.56/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.71
+20% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Giugliano
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 3-0 HT 2-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
07.01.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
01.09.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Giugliano
5-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SSC Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano swept aside Sorrento Calcio 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SSC Giugliano as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SSC Giugliano had 64% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 36%, shots finished 19-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sorrento Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for SSC Giugliano and 1.67 for Sorrento Calcio.

What was the final score of SSC Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?

SSC Giugliano 5-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Giugliano vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a SSC Giugliano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split SSC Giugliano 46%, draw 22%, Sorrento Calcio 32%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SSC Giugliano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SSC Giugliano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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