FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 29 Sep 2025

FC Cincinnati
1-1 HT 0-0
Orlando City
📅29/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.57
6+ Goals
11%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.29
1/2
9%
23.4
1/X
5%
12.35
X/1
12%
5.91
X/2
10%
6.27
X/X
11%
6.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.1
2/2
19%
3.6
2/X
7%
12.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Cincinnati v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 40%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.27/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.32
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
386 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 83%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
14.3 Crosses 14.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
424 Passes 373
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
23 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
29.06.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
06.10.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-3 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
05.05.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
03.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
05.03.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
25.06.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD

FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-1
AWAY Orlando City
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 24
14 Shots on Target 14
2 Corners 6
460 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 38
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati and Orlando City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 56% of the ball to Orlando City's 44%, shots finished 18-24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Cincinnati and 0.83 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?

FC Cincinnati 1-1 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 39%, draw 23%, Orlando City 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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