Ismaily 1-2 National Bank of Egypt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.38
Over 2.5
37%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.67
No
63%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
14%
6.63
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
31%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.4pp
50%
Away Win
53%
-3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
69%
-5.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
31%
+5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
33%
+3.7pp
63%
BTTS No
67%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY National Bank of Egypt EU Bookmakers 57%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.65/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.56
-44% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +9%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
208 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
16.9 Crosses 26.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
1W-3D-2L
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.79 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
327 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 1-0 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
26.05.2024 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-2 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
05.12.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 2-1 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
17.05.2023 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt 2-0 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
03.01.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 0-0 HT 0-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
22.05.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 2-2 HT 1-0 National Bank of Egypt National Bank of Egypt MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-2
AWAY National Bank of Egypt
1.63 xG 1.37
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
174 Passes 424
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs National Bank of Egypt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

National Bank of Egypt nicked a narrow win over Ismaily 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had National Bank of Egypt as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ismaily had 35% of the ball to National Bank of Egypt's 65%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.63 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, National Bank of Egypt led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ismaily and 1.33 for National Bank of Egypt.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs National Bank of Egypt?

Ismaily 1-2 National Bank of Egypt in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs National Bank of Egypt?

Before kick-off our model rated an National Bank of Egypt win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 18%, draw 32%, National Bank of Egypt 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (National Bank of Egypt) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
29 Sep 2025
17:00 El Gounah vs Ceramica Cleopatra Analysis →
20:00 Al Ahly vs Zamalek Analysis →