Al Ahly 2-1 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
5.41
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.7pp
36%
Draw
31%
+5.0pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +17%
1.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.09
+39% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
14.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
12.7 Crosses 13.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zamalek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 0.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
401 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 3-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
22.02.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
24.10.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
27.09.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek CAFSK
25.06.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
15.04.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-1
AWAY Zamalek
1.88 xG 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
362 Passes 197
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly edged past Zamalek 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 36% / 24% — and on the day Al Ahly made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ahly had 63% of the ball to Zamalek's 37%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.88 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Ahly and 1.17 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Zamalek?

Al Ahly 2-1 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 40%, draw 36%, Zamalek 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
29 Sep 2025
17:00 El Gounah vs Ceramica Cleopatra Analysis →
17:00 Ismaily vs National Bank of Egypt Analysis →