Al Ahly 1-1 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.83
6+ Goals
8%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.62/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.12
+47% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
17.1 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zamalek
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.81 xG 0.90
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
394 Passes 345
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
27.09.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek CAFSK
25.06.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
15.04.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
08.03.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRK
13.07.2023 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 3-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
1-1
AWAY Zamalek
0.47 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
385 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly and Zamalek couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahly at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Ahly had 54% of the ball to Zamalek's 46%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.47 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahly and 0.67 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Zamalek?

Al Ahly 1-1 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 47%, draw 24%, Zamalek 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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