Zamalek 3-0 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
46%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 34% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-4.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.4pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 55%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.03/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.85
+99% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 78%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
10.1 Crosses 14.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ahly
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.82 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
329 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
24.10.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
27.09.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek CAFSK
25.06.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
15.04.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
08.03.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRK
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek cruised past Al Ahly 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahly at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zamalek and 1.17 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Al Ahly?

Zamalek 3-0 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 23%, draw 31%, Al Ahly 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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