El Gounah 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.91
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.7pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 45%
+5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
0.83/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.98
+6% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
16.7 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
217 Passes 324
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2025 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 3-1 HT 2-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSRK
22.02.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
07.07.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
20.02.2024 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
10.05.2022 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 3-2 HT 0-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
26.10.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 0-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
1-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.38 xG 2.01
29% Ball Possession 71%
13 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
115 Passes 416
57% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah and Ceramica Cleopatra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, El Gounah had 29% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 71%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.38 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Gounah and 1.33 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

El Gounah 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceramica Cleopatra win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 32%, draw 32%, Ceramica Cleopatra 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceramica Cleopatra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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