Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sportivo Ameliano v Deportivo Recoleta — Team-Based Signals
Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 Deportivo Recoleta — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo Recoleta swept aside Sportivo Ameliano 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Sportivo Ameliano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 58% of the ball to Deportivo Recoleta's 42%, shots finished 10-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Recoleta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 2.00 for Deportivo Recoleta.
What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 Deportivo Recoleta in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Ameliano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 42%, draw 26%, Deportivo Recoleta 32%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.