Sporting Cristal 3-0 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
11%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
68%
+2.8pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.7pp
11%
Away Win
13%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 16%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +5%
2.21/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.62
+32% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
24.8 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.64 xG 1.19
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
410 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-4 HT 1-4 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
05.10.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
13.05.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 3-2 HT 3-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
17.10.2021 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 1-0 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
25.06.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PERKB
12.12.2020 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
3-0
AWAY Ayacucho FC
1.69 xG 0.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
403 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal swept aside Ayacucho FC 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 61% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 39%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.69 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.67 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC?

Sporting Cristal 3-0 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 71%, draw 18%, Ayacucho FC 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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