UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.40/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.78
+10% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
21.9 Crosses 12.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Cultural San
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.68 xG 1.21
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
264 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Cultural San Cultural San 2-1 HT 1-1 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
19.09.2024 Cultural San Cultural San 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
15.04.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-0 HT 1-0 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2-0
AWAY Cultural San
3.08 xG 0.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
336 Passes 242
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 10
8 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UTC Cajamarca got the better of Cultural San 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had UTC Cajamarca as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 56% of the ball to Cultural San's 44%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.08 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.00 for Cultural San.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Cultural San?

UTC Cajamarca 2-0 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 47%, draw 27%, Cultural San 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✗ BTTS Yes
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