Cienciano 2-1 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cienciano EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +4%
1.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.20
-19% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.8 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cienciano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 234
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-1 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
21.08.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 3-0 HT 1-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
14.03.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 2-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
21.08.2023 Cienciano Cienciano 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
02.04.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-0 HT 0-0 Cienciano Cienciano PER
17.10.2022 Cienciano Cienciano 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cienciano
2-1
AWAY Alianza Lima
1.17 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
341 Passes 235
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cienciano vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano edged past Alianza Lima 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cienciano had 56% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 44%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.17 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Cienciano and 1.33 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Cienciano vs Alianza Lima?

Cienciano 2-1 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 50%, draw 25%, Alianza Lima 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cienciano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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