Coritiba 2-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 29 Oct 2024

Coritiba
2-1 HT 1-1
CRB
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Coritiba vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.63
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 32.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coritiba v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coritiba EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.39/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.27
+14% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
21.8 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Coritiba vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coritiba
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CRB
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.07.2024 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
27.10.2021 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
23.07.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.09.2019 Coritiba Coritiba 0-2 HT 0-2 CRB CRB BR2
21.05.2019 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
22.09.2018 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2

Coritiba 2-1 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coritiba
2-1
AWAY CRB
2.93 xG 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
365 Passes 263
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Coritiba vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coritiba squeezed past CRB 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Coritiba as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Coritiba had 55% of the ball to CRB's 45%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.93 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Coritiba's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coritiba and 1.33 for CRB.

What was the final score of Coritiba vs CRB?

Coritiba 2-1 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coritiba vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 44%, draw 33%, CRB 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coritiba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coritiba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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