Bursa Nilüfer FK 2-3 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
9.57
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
52%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
8%
+15.4pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.5pp
52%
Away Win
77%
-24.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -48% / -48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -77%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 585 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bursa Nilüfer FK
2-3
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bursa Nilüfer FK vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü edged past Bursa Nilüfer FK 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bursa Nilüfer FK had 39% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 61%, shots finished 5-18.

What was the final score of Bursa Nilüfer FK vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Bursa Nilüfer FK 2-3 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bursa Nilüfer FK vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bursa Nilüfer FK 23%, draw 24%, MKE Ankaragücü 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Over 2.5
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