Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.18
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
26%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
79%
-25.1pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
8%
+18.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokat Bld Plevnespor EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
2.37/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.51
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -5%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
374 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
1-0
AWAY Tokat Bld Plevnespor
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük edged past Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fatih Karagümrük as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 54% of the ball to Tokat Bld Plevnespor's 46%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?

Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 Tokat Bld Plevnespor in the Turkey - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 54%, draw 20%, Tokat Bld Plevnespor 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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