Etimesgut Spor 2-0 Mardin 1969 Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.64
Over 2.5
52%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
57%
-9.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
43%
+9.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etimesgut Spor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Mardin 1969 Spor EU Bookmakers 45%
+58% / +58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+51% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etimesgut Spor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mardin 1969 Spor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2023 Etimesgut Spor Etimesgut Spor 3-2 HT 1-2 Mardin 1969 Spor Mardin 1969 Spor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etimesgut Spor
2-0
AWAY Mardin 1969 Spor
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etimesgut Spor vs Mardin 1969 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Spor beat Mardin 1969 Spor 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) promised a tight game; Etimesgut Spor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Etimesgut Spor had 49% of the ball to Mardin 1969 Spor's 51%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Etimesgut Spor vs Mardin 1969 Spor?

Etimesgut Spor 2-0 Mardin 1969 Spor in the Turkey - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etimesgut Spor vs Mardin 1969 Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mardin 1969 Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Etimesgut Spor 36%, draw 23%, Mardin 1969 Spor 41%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mardin 1969 Spor) ✗ Over 2.5
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