Sarıyer 1-0 Niğde Belediyesi Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
27%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
72%
-19.8pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
27%
Away Win
9%
+17.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.7pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Niğde Belediyesi Spor EU Bookmakers 12%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarıyer
1-0
AWAY Niğde Belediyesi Spor
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sarıyer vs Niğde Belediyesi Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarıyer nicked a narrow win over Niğde Belediyesi Spor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sarıyer as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sarıyer had 63% of the ball to Niğde Belediyesi Spor's 37%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Sarıyer vs Niğde Belediyesi Spor?

Sarıyer 1-0 Niğde Belediyesi Spor in the Turkey - Cup on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarıyer vs Niğde Belediyesi Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarıyer win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sarıyer 52%, draw 20%, Niğde Belediyesi Spor 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarıyer) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarıyer) ✗ Over 2.5
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