Celtic 4-0 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Oct 2025

Celtic
4-0 HT 2-0
Falkirk
📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Celtic vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.18
Draw
13%
6.26
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.14
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.61
2-3 Goals
36%
2.31
4-5 Goals
31%
2.46
6+ Goals
13%
4.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.32
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
3%
24.85
X/1
22%
3.99
X/2
3%
26.5
X/X
6%
11.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
16%
20.0
2/2
4%
21.45
2/X
5%
29.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 16% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
79%
-3.8pp
13%
Draw
12%
+1.0pp
11%
Away Win
8%
+2.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.3pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celtic v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
2.73/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.68
+16% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -90% / -23%
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
569 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 167 · 63%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
28.7 Crosses 9.0
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.0

Celtic vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Falkirk
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
655 Passes 99
90% Pass Accuracy 53%
73 Box Touches 0
20 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.08.2025 Celtic Celtic 4-1 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
22.09.2024 Celtic Celtic 5-2 HT 1-2 Falkirk Falkirk İKLK
03.04.2021 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
29.01.2012 Falkirk Falkirk 1-3 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKLK
07.03.2010 Falkirk Falkirk 0-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
16.01.2010 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKP

Celtic 4-0 Falkirk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
4-0
AWAY Falkirk
4.18 xG 0.47
60% Ball Possession 40%
26 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
427 Passes 250
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic ran out comfortable winners over Falkirk 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celtic had 60% of the ball to Falkirk's 40%, shots finished 26-8, expected goals 4.18 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Celtic and 0.83 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Falkirk?

Celtic 4-0 Falkirk in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Celtic 76%, draw 13%, Falkirk 11%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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