Kilmarnock 0-1 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 32% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.95
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
12%
5.7
X/2
13%
5.5
X/X
9%
4.46
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
17%
3.74
2/X
7%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.56/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.45
+3% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
245 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
22.8 Crosses 20.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
180 Passes 279
62% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
26.12.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 4-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
25.08.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
09.03.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-1 HT 2-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKK
24.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
06.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
0-1
AWAY Aberdeen
1.36 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
353 Passes 263
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 8
34 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen squeezed past Kilmarnock 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Aberdeen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 57% of the ball to Aberdeen's 43%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.36 to 0.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Kilmarnock.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kilmarnock and 1.00 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Kilmarnock 0-1 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 39%, draw 23%, Aberdeen 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kilmarnock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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