AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AGF Aarhus v SonderjyskE — Team-Based Signals
AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
SonderjyskE
DAN
2-1
HT 1-1
AGF Aarhus
DAN
2-3
HT 2-1
AGF Aarhus
DAN
AGF Aarhus 2-1 SonderjyskE — Actual Match Statistics
AGF Aarhus squeezed past SonderjyskE 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, AGF Aarhus had 61% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 39%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 3.05 to 1.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AGF Aarhus's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for AGF Aarhus and 1.17 for SonderjyskE.
What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE?
AGF Aarhus 2-1 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - DBU Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs SonderjyskE?
Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 53%, draw 18%, SonderjyskE 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.