Wilstermann 2-2 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.43/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.19
+6% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.7 Crosses 17.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.51 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
266 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.07.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
07.04.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
19.02.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-0 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
06.12.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
26.06.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 3-2 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
22.10.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
2-2
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
0.77 xG 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
318 Passes 170
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann and Oriente Petrolero shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Wilstermann at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 62% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 38%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 0.77 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oriente Petrolero led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wilstermann and 1.67 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero?

Wilstermann 2-2 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 55%, draw 24%, Oriente Petrolero 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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