Hartlepool United 3-1 Truro City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Nov 2025

Hartlepool United
3-1 HT 1-0
Truro City
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Hartlepool United vs Truro City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
18%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
1.9
Over
44%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
31%
3.2
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
21%
3.41
6+
9%
13.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.2 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.06
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.65
X/1
19%
4.05
X/2
7%
10.65
X/X
14%
5.37
2/1
13%
23.55
2/2
7%
8.9
2/X
6%
17.6
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Hartlepool United v Truro City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Truro City The Market 21%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
1.41 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.76
0.80 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.51
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Bad
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
132 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 95 · 89%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hartlepool United 3-1 Truro City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
3-1
AWAY Truro City
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Hartlepool United vs Truro City
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Hartlepool United got the better of Truro City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hartlepool United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Hartlepool United had 59% of the ball to Truro City's 41%, shots finished 13-6.

Hartlepool United vs Truro City Result & Final Score

Hartlepool United 3-1 Truro City in the England - National League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Hartlepool United vs Truro City Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 56%, draw 26%, Truro City 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartlepool United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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