Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Hemel Hempstead Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.78
Over
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.92
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
17%
3.7
6+
7%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.92 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.7pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.18/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.00
-10% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tonbridge Angels
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hemel Hempstead Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
23.11.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
13.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
07.10.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 3-3 HT 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
07.04.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
27.09.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
POST-MATCH Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town got the better of Tonbridge Angels 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tonbridge Angels and 1.50 for Hemel Hempstead Town.

What was the final score of Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Tonbridge Angels 1-3 Hemel Hempstead Town in the England - Conference on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tonbridge Angels 31%, draw 28%, Hemel Hempstead Town 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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