Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Tonbridge Angels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.67
Over
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.51
2-3
44%
1.71
4-5
17%
4.19
6+
10%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-5.4pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tonbridge Angels EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -4%
1.61/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.49
+7% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tonbridge Angels
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 2-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
13.01.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
07.10.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 3-3 HT 2-2 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
07.04.2023 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels 1-1 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
27.09.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
26.03.2022 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 4-3 HT 2-1 Tonbridge Angels Tonbridge Angels İCON
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town got the better of Tonbridge Angels 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Hemel Hempstead Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hemel Hempstead Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.50 for Tonbridge Angels.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-0 Tonbridge Angels in the England - Conference on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Tonbridge Angels?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 39%, draw 30%, Tonbridge Angels 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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