Cardiff City 3-0 Mansfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.43
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
21%
4.62
X/2
5%
8.54
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1
7%
22.25
2/2
13%
6.26
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+0.8pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mansfield Town EU Bookmakers 28%
-43% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
2.03/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.18
-36% / -65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 69%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.0 Crosses 18.9
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mansfield Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
16.01.2018 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 1-4 HT 1-1 Cardiff City Cardiff City FAK
06.01.2018 Cardiff City Cardiff City 0-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town FAK
21.03.2003 Cardiff City Cardiff City 1-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN1
29.10.2002 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İN1
24.04.2001 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff City Cardiff City İN2
21.10.2000 Cardiff City Cardiff City 2-0 HT 0-0 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff City
3-0
AWAY Mansfield Town
3.30 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
463 Passes 346
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
34 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cardiff City vs Mansfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City ran out comfortable winners over Mansfield Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Cardiff City had 55% of the ball to Mansfield Town's 45%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 3.30 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cardiff City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cardiff City and 0.50 for Mansfield Town.

What was the final score of Cardiff City vs Mansfield Town?

Cardiff City 3-0 Mansfield Town in the England - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City vs Mansfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City 52%, draw 22%, Mansfield Town 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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