Stockport County 1-1 Barnsley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.81
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
5%
13.2
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.93
X/2
11%
7.23
X/X
14%
5.24
2/1
8%
23.55
2/2
11%
5.07
2/X
8%
13.85
Value flag · X/1 at 4.93 — our 22% vs market 16.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -2%
1.60/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.44
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 69%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
25.2 Crosses 16.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Barnsley
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.29 xG 1.29
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
314 Passes 312
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.02.2025 Stockport County Stockport County 2-1 HT 2-0 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
28.09.2024 Barnsley Barnsley 1-1 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
22.01.2005 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 1-1 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
28.12.2004 Barnsley Barnsley 3-3 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
08.05.2004 Stockport County Stockport County 2-3 HT 0-2 Barnsley Barnsley İN1
29.11.2003 Barnsley Barnsley 3-3 HT 1-2 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-1
AWAY Barnsley
1.34 xG 1.03
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 231
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 18
35 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Barnsley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County and Barnsley shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stockport County had 57% of the ball to Barnsley's 43%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.34 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Stockport County and 2.17 for Barnsley.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Stockport County 1-1 Barnsley in the England - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Barnsley?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 44%, draw 27%, Barnsley 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stockport County), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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