Burton Albion 0-4 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.63
No
39%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.2
6+ Goals
14%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.93
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.02
X/2
10%
5.65
X/X
12%
4.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.57
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
57%
+3.6pp
39%
BTTS No
43%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 42%
-9% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.09/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.37
-11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.0 Crosses 12.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.08 xG 1.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
202 Passes 407
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2025 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-1 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
14.12.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
17.02.2024 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-2 HT 1-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
28.10.2023 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-4
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.53 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
243 Passes 186
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient ran out comfortable winners over Burton Albion 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Leyton Orient made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Burton Albion had 54% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 46%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.53 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Burton Albion had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Burton Albion and 0.50 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

Burton Albion 0-4 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 39%, draw 24%, Leyton Orient 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Burton Albion), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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