Plymouth Argyle 0-3 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

Plymouth Argyle
0-3 HT 0-0
Northampton Town
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.71
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.91
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.68
X/2
10%
7.17
X/X
11%
4.35
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
13%
5.63
2/X
7%
14.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plymouth Argyle v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.42/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.17
+1% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
20.8 Crosses 17.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.38 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
387 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.03.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
17.10.2020 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
31.08.2019 Northampton Town Northampton Town 3-1 HT 3-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN2
21.04.2018 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
21.11.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
12.01.2016 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-2 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2

Plymouth Argyle 0-3 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
0-3
AWAY Northampton Town
1.17 xG 1.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
233 Passes 137
69% Pass Accuracy 56%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town ran out comfortable winners over Plymouth Argyle 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Plymouth Argyle at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 57% of the ball to Northampton Town's 43%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.17 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.67 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town?

Plymouth Argyle 0-3 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 44%, draw 26%, Northampton Town 30%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✗ BTTS Yes
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