Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.97
Over 2.5
59%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.66
No
41%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
13%
11.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.98
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
10%
5.05
X/2
9%
6.91
X/X
7%
5.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.45
2/2
20%
4.84
2/X
10%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
47%
-5.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
53%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
44%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.34
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.0 Crosses 17.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Peterborough United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.50 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
319 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2023 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-1 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers FAK
09.05.2021 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-4 HT 0-4 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
27.04.2021 Peterborough United Peterborough United 2-2 HT 2-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
26.12.2019 Peterborough United Peterborough United 0-3 HT 0-1 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
21.09.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-0 HT 2-0 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
09.02.2019 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 3-1 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2-1
AWAY Peterborough United
1.84 xG 0.67
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
214 Passes 463
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers edged past Peterborough United 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Doncaster Rovers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 37% of the ball to Peterborough United's 63%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.84 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Doncaster Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.50 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs Peterborough United?

Doncaster Rovers 2-1 Peterborough United in the England - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 44%, draw 23%, Peterborough United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İN1 More England - 1st Division
29 Nov 2025
15:30 Stockport County vs Barnsley Analysis →
15:30 Blackpool vs Reading Analysis →
18:00 Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient Analysis →
18:00 Huddersfield Town vs AFC Wimbledon Analysis →
18:00 Cardiff City vs Mansfield Town Analysis →
18:00 Rotherham United vs Wycombe Wanderers Analysis →