Leek Town 2-2 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leek Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 27%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.89
-47% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leek Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Workington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Leek Town Leek Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Workington Workington İNGNLP
17.08.2024 Workington Workington 1-1 HT 1-1 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leek Town vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leek Town and Workington shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Leek Town at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Leek Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leek Town and 0.50 for Workington.

What was the final score of Leek Town vs Workington?

Leek Town 2-2 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 51%, draw 25%, Workington 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leek Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leek Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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