Milan vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Milan v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Milan 1-0 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Milan squeezed past Lazio 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 48%. The market went further still — the BTTS-no price closed at 1.72, about 58%.
The match data tells the story: Milan had 46% of the ball to Lazio's 54%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Milan and 1.33 for Lazio.
Milan vs Lazio Result & Final Score
Milan 1 - 0 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Milan vs Lazio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Milan 58%, draw 24%, Lazio 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.