Paris FC 1-1 Auxerre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.86
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
21%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.86
Over
51%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.22
2-3
39%
1.78
4-5
22%
3.53
6+
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.52
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.65
X/1
19%
4.51
X/2
7%
8.3
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
9%
6.46
2/X
8%
14.85
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC The Market 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Auxerre The Market 28%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
3.21/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.51
+62% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
27.0 Crosses 16.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Auxerre
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 Passes 430
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Auxerre Auxerre 2-0 HT 1-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
07.10.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
01.02.2022 Auxerre Auxerre 1-2 HT 1-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
16.08.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
13.03.2021 Auxerre Auxerre 0-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
21.11.2020 Paris FC Paris FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Auxerre Auxerre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
1-1
AWAY Auxerre
1.80 xG 1.11
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
451 Passes 357
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Paris FC vs Auxerre
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Paris FC and Auxerre finished all square at 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Paris FC carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 51% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

Under the surface, possession split 55% to 45% in Paris FC's favour, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.80 to 1.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auxerre led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Paris FC against 1.50 for Auxerre.

Paris FC vs Auxerre Result & Final Score

Paris FC 1-1 Auxerre in the France - Ligue 1 on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Paris FC vs Auxerre Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 55%, draw 24%, Auxerre 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paris FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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