Monaco 1-0 PSG — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 29 Nov 2025

Monaco
1-0 HT 0-0
PSG
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Monaco vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.61
Over Pick
59%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.93
2-3
39%
2.08
4-5
24%
2.53
6+
15%
5.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.55
1/2 ✗
10%
18.85
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
9%
9.9
X/2
13%
4.69
X/X
10%
6.91
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
32%
2.11
2/X
5%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 18.85 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Monaco v PSG — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 27%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG The Market 59%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.28/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.31
-36% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +12%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
307 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 483 · 85%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
12.5 Crosses 12.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Monaco vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
1W-1D-4L
AWAY PSG
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.71 xG 2.18
40% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 528
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
27 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.02.2025 PSG PSG 4-1 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
05.01.2025 PSG PSG 1-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FRSK
18.12.2024 Monaco Monaco 2-4 HT 0-1 PSG PSG FR1
01.03.2024 Monaco Monaco 0-0 HT 0-0 PSG PSG FR1
24.11.2023 PSG PSG 5-2 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
11.02.2023 Monaco Monaco 3-1 HT 3-1 PSG PSG FR1

Monaco 1-0 PSG — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
1-0
AWAY PSG
0.63 xG 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 445
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 35
9 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Monaco vs PSG
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monaco edged past PSG 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our model won't enjoy this one — PSG at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, Monaco had 43% of the ball to PSG's 57%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 0.63 to 1.33 — by the quality of chances, PSG deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Monaco and 2.50 for PSG.

Monaco vs PSG Result & Final Score

Monaco 1-0 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs PSG Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Monaco 23%, draw 22%, PSG 55%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSG) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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