Llanelli Town 1-2 Connahs Quay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
8%
9.57
Draw
8%
5.28
Away
84%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
2.23
Over 2.5
68%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.25
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
16%
1/X
2%
X/1
4%
X/2
36%
X/X
3%
2/1
2%
2/2
32%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
8%
Home Win
8%
+0.6pp
8%
Draw
16%
-8.0pp
84%
Away Win
77%
+7.4pp
32%
Under 2.5
41%
-8.9pp
68%
Over 2.5
59%
+8.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llanelli Town EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 81%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
0.66/2.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.70
-14% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
189 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llanelli Town
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Connahs Quay
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 HT 1-0 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GAL
15.03.2025 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 2-1 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GALWK
14.01.2023 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GALWK
POST-MATCH Llanelli Town vs Connahs Quay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay nicked a narrow win over Llanelli Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Llanelli Town and 2.33 for Connahs Quay.

What was the final score of Llanelli Town vs Connahs Quay?

Llanelli Town 1-2 Connahs Quay in the Wales - Premier League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llanelli Town vs Connahs Quay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Llanelli Town 8%, draw 8%, Connahs Quay 84%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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