Parceiro Nagano 0-4 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.06
No
46%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+3.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 60%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.3 Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tochigi SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
332 Passes 308
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2025 Tochigi SC Tochigi SC 1-0 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0-4
AWAY Tochigi SC
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
293 Passes 249
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
11 Crosses 25
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi SC ran out comfortable winners over Parceiro Nagano 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tochigi SC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 53% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 47%, shots finished 7-27.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC?

Parceiro Nagano 0-4 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 22%, draw 29%, Tochigi SC 49%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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