Sagamihara 0-5 Tochigi City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.2pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 56%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.97/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/2.00
-18% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -46%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 25.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tochigi City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 7
219 Passes 157
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2025 Tochigi City Tochigi City 2-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
0-5
AWAY Tochigi City
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
7 Corners 3
265 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Tochigi City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City swept aside Sagamihara 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tochigi City as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sagamihara had 48% of the ball to Tochigi City's 52%, shots finished 14-18.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?

Sagamihara 0-5 Tochigi City in the Japan - J3 League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Tochigi City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 29%, draw 22%, Tochigi City 49%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Under 2.5
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