Ruch Chorzow 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +13%
1.88/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.15
+23% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 1.54
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 Passes 177
82% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2025 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
09.07.2025 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice HAZ
06.04.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
30.09.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 HT 2-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
17.02.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
30.07.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow saw off Puszcza Niepolomice 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ruch Chorzow as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 51% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 49%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 0.67 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Ruch Chorzow 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 45%, draw 27%, Puszcza Niepolomice 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ruch Chorzow), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
29 Nov 2025
21:30 Odra Opole vs Chrobry Glogow Analysis →
21:30 Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Siedlce Analysis →