Van Spor FK 0-1 Serik Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 33% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.94
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.89
X/2
12%
7.0
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.1
2/X
8%
14.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.89 — our 25% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+5.3pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Van Spor FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Serik Spor EU Bookmakers 32%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+105% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Van Spor FK
0-1
AWAY Serik Spor
0.71 xG 1.58
71% Ball Possession 29%
17 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
391 Passes 129
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 19
30 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Van Spor FK vs Serik Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serik Spor nicked a narrow win over Van Spor FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Van Spor FK at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Van Spor FK had 71% of the ball to Serik Spor's 29%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 0.71 to 1.58.

What was the final score of Van Spor FK vs Serik Spor?

Van Spor FK 0-1 Serik Spor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Van Spor FK vs Serik Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Van Spor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Van Spor FK 51%, draw 21%, Serik Spor 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Van Spor FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Van Spor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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